Global Warming:
Physics and Consequences

Global warming is happening and it is caused by humans burning fossil fuels.
All coastal cities are in danger.
"global sea levels have risen about 10 centimeters from 1993 to 2023"
Climate Spiral

Here are resources that demonstrate these facts and some of the effects it is causing.

• The smoking gun of C12/C13!!!!
• It's going UP!!!! LOL!!!!
• The "myth" of the boiling frog
• Scroll down this chart: What's Really Warming the World?
  The data come from NASA: GISTEMP Seasonal Cycle since 1880
• Facts: Global warming isn't natural, and here's how we know. Posted on June 6, 2016 by Fallacy Man
• NASA: Scientific Consensus: Earth's Climate is Warming
• NATIONAL ACADEMIES OF SCIENCE: Climate Resources at the National Academies
• Interlude: How Science Works

1. When we drive a gas car or use electricity generated by oil, coal or natural gas the fuel burns and generates CO₂.
2. The amount of CO₂ gas in the atmosphere is rising way beyond historic levels.
   NASA Carbon Dioxide LATEST MEASUREMENT
3. The CO₂ allows visible sunlight through the atmosphere.
4. The visible and infrared sunlight heats up the earth.
5. The heat is re-radiated as longer wavelength infrared light.
6. Light radiates into outer space, cooling the planet.
7. But infrared light gets absorbed by CO₂, trapping the heat.
   See the demonstration by the Action Lab
8. So the CO₂ we are adding to the atmosphere does NOT allow the heat out as much.
9. CO₂ is called a "greenhouse gas" because it works like a greenhouse - heating up the container it is in. (But see real greenhouses)
10. So the earth is heating up and it is our fault.
11. The heat warms the oceans, causing more water in the air, leading to more severe storms, which we are seeing.
12. In some places the extra heat causes droughts.
13. In Syria the extra heat caused a drought. The global-warming caused drought triggered the war. See: Researchers Link Syrian Conflict to a Drought Made Worse by Climate Change, by Henry Fountain March 2, 2015.
14. Storm intensity has been shown to be increasing. See:
    • The strongest, most dangerous hurricanes are now far more likely because of climate change, study shows
    • Global increase in major tropical cyclone exceedance probability over the past four decades

1. Weather patterns change, many places will become drier but others wetter since heating the oceans causes more evaporation.
2. Storms are already bad and getting worse.
3. Wars are already being fought over resources.
4. The pole ice caps are melting.
5. Melting ice on land is causing the sea level to rise.
6. The sea expands in the heat and raises the sea level.
7. Coastal cities all around the planet are already in trouble and many will have to be abandoned.
8. Species are migrating northward and many species are dying that cannot migrate.
9. The permafrost in places like Siberia is warming up, releasing methane, another gas like CO CO₂. If enough is released, it could cause run-away heating
10. Many humans are already dying from the heat.
11. My opinion: these changes could lead to human extinction.
    1. Civilization collapse
       • "High Likelihood of Human Civilization Coming to an End" Starting in 2050
       • EXISTENTIAL CLIMATE-RELATED SECURITY RISK
       • Can we think in new ways about the existential human security risks driven by the climate crisis?
    2. Humanity will become fragmented
    3. Fragmented species are in danger of extinction
       Quantification of habitat fragmentation reveals extinction risk in terrestrial mammals Crooks et al. PNAS 2017.
    4. Here's an essay about Facing Extinction by Catherine Ingram
    5. The Future by Leonard Cohen

How Science Works Read this page to understand what scientists do to make sure that their science is correct.

• What Will Earth Look Like When These 6 Tipping Points Hit?
• School strike for climate - save the world by changing the rules
  Greta Thunberg Published on Dec 12, 2018 TEDx Talks
• GREENLAND - THE MELTING ISLAND, Stefan Forster Published on Nov 29, 2018 Stunning.
• Sea Level Rise Can No Longer Be Stopped, What Next? - with John Englander, The Royal Institution, Published on May 29, 2019.
  • Watch the Q&A
  • google: sealevelrisenow blog
  • High Tide On Main Street: Rising Sea Level and the Coming Coastal Crisis
• Dan Britt - Orbits and Ice Ages: The History of Climate TheIHMC, Published on Feb 8, 2012. Excellent summary of the science.
• How long have scientists known about climate change?
• Two Simple Proofs of Global Warming. inFact with Brian Dunning Published on Jan 27, 2018
• The oceans are warming. No more fish to eat.
• Top 10 climate change myths. potholer54 Published on Apr 14, 2018
• 120 Seconds of Science: How Do Greenhouse Gases Work? LearnMoreAboutClim8 Published on Feb 4, 2013
• Global Weirding with Katharine Hayhoe - Informative series of videos on global warming.
  Dr. Katharine Hayhoe's Opening Plenary talk at the Citizens' Climate Lobby 2019 Conference
• A Glacier dies
• WARNING: FRAUDULANT VIDEOS - Most YouTube climate change videos 'oppose the consensus view' as given in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) which gives the scientific consensus.
• Citizens Climate Lobby: Save Yellowstone: Hunters, ranchers, and park visitors are seeing concerning changes. You can help.
  Original youtube video: Take Action | Save Yellowstone National Park | Paramount Network
• Predictions of what will happen: Beyond Two Degrees with David Wallace-Wells
  
• What is the Greenhouse Effect? NASA Jun 11, 2020
• Are Hurricanes Getting Stronger? We Asked a NASA Scientist Oct 19, 2022
• The Keeling Curve 2023 Jul 19

• NASA Climate Change
  2024 Mar 12
  https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=731888262414927

  This winter was the warmest on record, and February 2024 was also the warmest February on record.

  NASA's record, called GISTEMP, is calculated from millions of measurements from thousands of weather stations on land, ships and ocean buoys, and Antarctic research stations. It uses data starting in 1880, when coverage makes it possible to reliably estimate global temperature.

  This winter in the Northern Hemisphere (Dec. 2023 - Feb. 2024), the global temperature anomaly - or deviation from the 1951-1980 baseline - was 1.34 degrees C. The global temperature anomaly for February 2024 was 1.44 degrees C.

  These record warm months continue a long term warming trend caused by human activities, primarily the release of greenhouse gases like carbon dioxide into Earth's atmosphere.

Things you can do

• Run your home on wind energy!
• JOIN the Citizens' Climate Lobby
• A Personal Checklist for Saving the Planet
• Drive a hybrid or-better yet-an electric car.
• VOTE for candidates who understand the issue and will work on it! (Unfortunately by 2023 this means that we should never vote for any Republicans because essentially all of them now deny that global warming is happening.)
• Join environmental groups:
  • Citizens' Climate Lobby
  • Sierra Club
  • Physicians for Social Responsibility
• Follow:
  • The Electric Viking

Other good links and News

• Real Climate "Climate science from climate scientists"
• Temperature Anomaly
• July [2016] was `absolutely' Earth's hottest month ever recorded
• google: green house effect
• Researchers Link Syrian Conflict to a Drought Made Worse by Climate Change
  GLOBAL WARMING CAUSES WAR
• Causes of Climate Change
• xkcd 1732: Earth Temperatures Timeline
• Inside the mind of a climate change scientist, Corinne Le Quéré, TEDxWarwi. TEDx Talks, Published on Apr 19, 2018
• snopes: Did a 1912 Newspaper Article Predict Global Warming? A newspaper clipping from 1912 that anticipates the global warming potential of burning coal is authentic and consistent with the history of climate science. Alex Kasprak. Published 18 October 2016
• NASA: Climate Change: How Do We Know?
  This doesn't even include observed changes in species!
• A call to climate action, Jonathan T. Overpeck1 and Cecilia Conde, Science, 31 May 2019: Vol. 364, Issue 6443, pp. 807
  
• It's not Solar Cycles
  
• Report on Effects of a Changing Climate to the Department of Defense January 2019. (PDF)
  If the US Department of Defense is concerned, should you be too?
  
• Debunking 25 arguments against climate change in 5 sentences or less (each) Posted on October 18, 2016
  
• Climate Clincher
  The argument that global warming is part of a natural cycle is dead
  "A common argument among skeptics is put to rest" by Mark Fischetti, Scientific American, November 2019, page 86.
  From the original scientific report:
  No evidence for globally coherent warm and cold periods over the preindustrial Common Era Nature. 2019 Jul;571(7766):550-554. 2019 Jul 24. Neukom R, Steiger N, Gómez-Navar J, Wang J, Werner JP.
• Big oil knew about the global warming problem for 60 years
• The cause of Australia's bushfires - what the SCIENCE says Jan 18, 2020 potholer54
• Is the Sun causing global warming? No.
• How well do scientific models of climate do? VERY WELL! That is, they are quite close to the ACTUAL MEASUREMENTS. That means: global warming is caused by humans.
• Carbon Negative: Can we get there? by Just Have a Think
• HERE'S HOW SCIENCE WORKS FOLKS!
  Global warming is not from the sun!
  "Major science journal retracts study blaming climate change on the sun" https://www.newscientist.com/article/2236103-major-science-journal-retracts-study-blaming-climate-change-on-the-sun/#ixzz6GHuJpy7R
  The original paper is clearly marked: RETRACTED ARTICLE: Oscillations of the baseline of solar magnetic field and solar irradiance on a millennial timescale https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-019-45584-3
• Washington Post stories that won the 2020 Pulitzer Prize
• Even 50-year-old climate models correctly predicted global warming
  By Warren Cornwall, Dec. 4, 2019, 12:00 PM, Science.
  Original paper: Evaluating the Performance of Past Climate Model Projections Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 47, Issue 2, 16 January 2020
• How Will Earth Change If All the Ice Melts?
  RealLifeLore Jul 28, 2017
• The Keeling Curve
  "The Keeling Curve is a daily record of global atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration maintained by Scripps Institution of Oceanography at UC San Diego."
  • Posting on Facebook by Our Children's Trust
  • Atmospheric CO2 Data, Primary Mauna Loa CO2 Record
    In the csv, Columns 4 (date) and 5 (CO2 [ppm]) are the raw data.
    
  • The most horrifying aspect of this curve is that the rate is increasing. Is it exponential? If so it should be a straight line on a log(CO2) versus time plot. The graph shows that it is MORE THAN EXPONENTIAL!
  • Facebook posting: The Keeling curve shows the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere over time. https://scrippsco2.ucsd.edu/data/atmospheric_co2/primary_mlo_co2_record.html The most horrifying aspect of this curve is that the rate is increasing. Is it exponential? If so it should be a straight line on a log(CO2) versus time plot. I replotted the data on a log scale. http://users.fred.net/tds/globalwarming.html#keeling The graph shows that it is MORE THAN EXPONENTIAL!
• JOIN Citizens' Climate Lobby They have a logical, balanced political approach to solving the climate crisis
• Wildfires and Climate Change Explained The Years Project, 2020 Aug 21
• CO₂, Temperature and Sea Level from John Englander 2020 Sep 09
• A graph from NASA shows how people try to fool you about climate change.
• New Climate Maps Show a Transformed United States ... You didn't expect to keep the 'bread basket' did you?
• Heatwaves are killing a record number of people The Economist, Dec 3rd 2020. From The Lancet
• Tim Cook at U.N. Climate Summit: Apple To Be Ready 20 Years Early. 2020 Dec 13
• Thwaites glacier melting! 2020 Dec 16
• New Climate Maps Show a Transformed United States. 2021 Feb 25
• The conservative Frank Lunz invented the term "climate change" to replace "global warming" to fool you!
  • The terms mean different things:
    • the planet is warming is "global warming".
    • That results in the planet's climage changing.
    But the term "climate change" sounds mild and far away and so by swtiching terms it makes the problem appear less important. As a result the problem is now far worse.
  • Frank Luntz: the man who came up with `climate change' - and regrets it. For three decades he made conservative ideas popular. He got a lot wrong, he tells Jane Mulkerrins by Jane Mulkerrins Tuesday May 25 2021, 12.01am BST, The Times 2022 Oct 20 (unfortunately The Times is hiding behind a pay wall).

    "You might call him a pollster or a political strategist. Frank Luntz simply calls himself a "word guy". Over three decades in US politics 59-year-old Luntz has crafted messaging to make conservative ideas more palatable to the public. He coined the emotive term "death tax" to replace "inheritance tax", used the words "energy exploration" to replace "offshore drilling" and advised the Bush administration to adopt his phrase "climate change" in place of "global warming"."

  • Presentation by Frank Luntz
  • Wikipedia page on Frank Luntz "He advocated use of vocabulary crafted to produce a desired effect; including use of the term death tax instead of estate tax, and climate change instead of global warming."
  • google search for 'Frank Lunz'
  • Discussion on Facebook starting 2022 Oct 18
  • Discussion on Facebook starting 2023 Aug 19.
  • Debunking the claim `they' changed `global warming' to `climate change' because warming stopped Perspective by Jason Samenow, The Washington Post January 29, 2018 at 3:52 p.m. EST.
  • "The Boston Globe is hiring a Climate Science Editor to cover the climate crisis" 2023 Sep 08. Discussion on Facebook
  • A Controversial Play --- and What It Taught Me About the Psychology of Climate | David Finnigan | TED Sep 9, 2024 discussion on facebook
  
  

  ---

  Tom Schneider's Home Page
  origin: 2017 Apr 08
  updated: 2024 Nov 12
  

  ---